95% of Climate Models Agree: The Observations Must be Wrong

anthonyvioli:

Great insight into how poor climate models are, and how you, yes you, are losing money because of it.

Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

Note: This is a repost from Dr. Roy Spencer’s blog entry last Friday. I’ve done so because it needs the wide distribution that WUWT can offer. The one graph he has produced (see below) says it all. I suggest readers use their social media tools to share this far and wide. – Anthony

by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

I’m seeing a lot of wrangling over the recent (15+ year) pause in global average warming…when did it start, is it a full pause, shouldn’t we be taking the longer view, etc.

These are all interesting exercises, but they miss the most important point: the climate models that governments base policy decisions on have failed miserably.

I’ve updated our comparison of 90 climate models versus observations for global average surface temperatures through 2013, and we still see that >95% of the models have over-forecast the warming trend since 1979, whether…

View original 244 more words

Scorching heat causes temps to plunge.

Heatwaves, scorching heat yada yada. Same old shit, different day.

Luckily, mother nature doesn’t care too much, so far this month we are at -0.057C.

And spare a thought for the USA, they are at almost 4C below normal so far!

Blair Trewin says we have committed to a warmer future, maybe he is going to live on Venus sometime soon.

ncep_cfsr_t2m_anom

 

El Nino Watch.

Just checked the sea surface temperatures, David Jones stated early last year 2014 would be the warmest year on record due to the very large El Niño that will come on.

sst_anom.gif feb 5 2104

Strange, I see a lot of colder than normal water along the equator.

Maybe David needs a refresher course given he runs the National Climate Centre.

Or maybe the models cannot model ENSO, who’d have thought?

 

David the douchebag removes foot from Mouth.

Seems we don’t need to say much, David Jones is doing a fine job of digging himself a nice big hole.

This was 2008.

This drought may never break

January 4, 2008 IT MAY be time to stop describing south-eastern Australia as gripped by drought and instead accept the extreme dry as permanent, one of the nation’s most senior weather experts warned yesterday.

“Perhaps we should call it our new climate,” said the Bureau of Meteorology’s head of climate analysis, David Jones.

This drought may never break – Environment – smh.com.au

Then in 2009, on the back of a massive November heatwave, we are told this is the new normal, expect this with interest in the years to come, because our climate is becoming “unliveable.”

Fast forward 4 years, years which have been colder and by far wetter than 2009, and now we see this.

Postby hillybilly » Tue
Dec 10, 2013 6:18 am

Tend to think we should use the American definition of seasons in coastal vic.
Summer doesn’t usually start to the solstice, with December much more a spring
month.

Ummm what the fuck? Is this man insane?

First we are going to burn in hell and 4 years later we shouldn’t expect any heat until January.

It shows how much of a lying scum he is.

Meanwhile, the weather is bending him over repeatedly.

David Jones admits temps were 2 degrees warmer than current day.

The man who calls himself Hillybilly on the Australian Weather forum, because he is so pathetic and doesn’t want to use his real name, admitted some time ago that the Holecene Optimum temps were 2 degrees C warmer than today.

hillybilly on Wed 11 Nov 2009 – 9:01

The climate 5000 years ago (holocene
optimum) was wetter and more consistent than today, and 2deg warmer. the problem
now seem to be that we’re in no mans land, since the 98 shift were too warm for
the antarctic fronts and to cold for the tropical moisture.

Just curious, if we are so warm why have had a barrage of non stop assaults from the South in the last 4 years since this statement was made?

Too cold for tropical moisture? Hmm lets see how that went..

2009120120121130

Epic fail.

So the man who is the head of the National Climate Centre admits that we have been much warmer 5,000 years ago. But in the next breath says its never been hotter and we are to blame.

Maybe that’s why he still drives a Ford territory.

Or maybe its because he is a lying douchebag.

Breaking news : Australia runs the global climate

Another day, another junk piece.

Blair Untrewin has joined in the propaganda, spewed forth regularly by the World meteorological Organisation.

Farmers told to adapt to climate change

Cath McAloon,       Thursday November 14, 2013 – 16:00 EDT

Audience submitted image

            Australia is on track to record its hottest ever year in 2013.  
           –
 The latest world weather report, indicating the globe is on track to record one of its warmest years, should send a strong message to farmers to plan for climate adaptation, according to an expert in agriculture and climate change.
The United Nation’s World Meteorological Organisation is reporting 2013 is expected to rank among the top ten warmest years since modern weather records began in 1850.
Blair Trewin, a climatologist with the Bureau of Meteorology says record hot temperatures in Australia have significantly contributed to the overall result.
“Australia was probably the most exceptional part of the world this year,” Dr Trewin said.
“The year so far in Australia has been the warmest on record by a fairly substantial margin. Up to the end of October we were running 0.24 of a degree ahead of the previous record year, which means that unless November and December are significantly cooler, 2013 will be Australia’s warmest year on record.”
The UN organisation says the 2013 data continues a long-term warming trend, with all of the warmest years to date occurring since 1998. The trend is so strong that the coldest years now are warmer than the hottest years before 1998.
“The globe is getting warmer and inexorably our agricultural systems are going to have to adapt to what will be higher temperatures, and it will depend on where you are, but in some cases, less rainfall,” said Snow Barlow, a professor of agriculture at Melbourne University.
He says farmers, who are so reliant on the weather, need to plan for a changing climate.
“They will need to be thinking about how they continually adapt as they move forward.”
Meanwhile, Nasa satellites show no warming for 17 years.
trend-1
Im sure Blair knows about this data, but given it is the complete opposite of the agenda the BOM is running, chose to ignore it.