El Nino update.

A lot of rapid cooling over the past week, which is line with my forecast for a cool neutral from a few months ago.

Look at the difference from the start of the month.

And the models? Surely they must also be dropping off the El nino bandwagon?

Of course not, because they also have no clue.

Other indicators, well the SOI is rising, now up to -5.7 for the 90 day average.


Trade winds are definitely Easterly, no westerly wind anomalies anywhere to be seen.

All indicators are pointing to a neutral year, with average to above average rainfall for much of the country this summer and autumn.


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