Another failed UK prediction, extreme droughts now more common.

Sound familiar? Another doom and gloom article. And another study! They wouldn’t come to these conclusions for more funding, would they?

Well they better have a good excuse because there has been the wettest period in decades since the study came out.

http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/extreme-droughts-to-be-more-common-1983913.html

Britain is heading for water shortages and crop failures as extreme droughts like that of 1976 become more frequent, experts have warned.

A Met Office study on how climate change could affect the frequency of extreme droughts in the UK has found they will become more common by 2100, and to put the droughts in context, conditions seen in 1976 were used as a benchmark – one of the worst droughts on record.

The Met Office climate model was used to run a number of simulations and in the worst case scenarios, extreme droughts could happen once every decade – making them about 10 times more frequent than today.

Eleanor Burke, climate extremes scientist with the Met Office, said understanding how droughts will affect the UK in the future is vital for plans to adapt to climate change.

She said: “Severe droughts such as the one seen in 1976 have a big impact – causing water shortages, health risks, fire hazards, crop failure and subsidence. Understanding how the frequency of these events will change is therefore very important to planning for the future.”

Further research will be aimed at assessing how likely each of the climate model’s results is, to give better guidance for people to plan for the consequences of climate change.

Remind how good climate models are again? No warming for how many years now?

Here is what really happened in the last two years.

http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/nature/summer-2012-the-wettest-for-a-century-and-dullest-for-decades-8096834.html

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2196232/UK-weather-Fun-sun-Surfers-make-chilly-summers-day-beach-school-holidays-draw-close.html

Floods and record summer cold. I like these studies, every time they release one the climate bends them over and tears them inside out.

 

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