Its looking fairly likely now that this storm is going to be major.
Latest Ensembles put the NJ area, and anywhere between Virginia and New york in the firing line.
Models a lot tighter on the last run so they are honing in on the impact area.
Storms like this, moving up South then slamming West are very rare, a lot of meteorologist wonder why this doesn’t happen more often.
It is moving up unobstructed and will be almighty when it strikes.
Here is the latest plot.
This where ECMWF put the storm at 96 hours, Tuesday night Melbourne time.
That is a truly frightening prospect. Lets hope it weakens somewhat.